Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal - MensTennisForums.com

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post #1 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 05:25 AM Thread Starter
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Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

Excerpt from Bud Collins commentary:


No storybook ending for Nadal
Nadal's bid to be the last man standing in Paris for the second year in a row is certainly a serious one, but I just don't see a repeat for the Spanish sensation.

I can’t see anyone in Nadal's half of the draw knocking him out en route to the final, but in my gut, I feel it will be Federer waiting for him on championship Sunday. And I see the Basel Dazzle putting an end to Nadal's lengthy and super impressive clay-court winning streak.

Even though I think Lleyton Hewitt will go over every wall in Philippe Chatrier Stadium to trouble Nadal in their round-of-16 encounter, the Aussie doesn’t have enough pop from the backcourt on clay to hit through him.

I like French teen Gael Monfils' enthusiasm, and Serb teen Novak Djokovic’s weapons, but Nadal is too steady for either of them in the quarterfinals. And I view Nadal a solid bet to take his semifinal as no player in his half of the draw has the legs to run with him on clay, including fourth-seed Ivan Ljubicic, who’s really a fast-court player.

Nadal is tireless, and he was heroic in stopping Paul Henri Mathieu in nearly five hours in the third round, but there are ways to attack him.

If Federer serves well and approaches the net with the ferocity that Mathieu did, I think he’ll finally punch holes in the Spaniard’s armor.

Expecting Federer's best
The Swiss No. 1 has struggled in two of his matches this fortnight, but he almost always finds a path to weave his way to victory. His all-court game is effective everywhere, and he impressed me during the first week in Paris with how he was mentally willing to face up to every challenge.

In the quarterfinals, Federer should be able to race past Mario Ancic, who is exhausted after throwing up during his five-set win over Tommy Robredo in their round-of-16 match on Sunday.

But I expect Federer to be seriously tested in the semifinals, either by his other nemesis besides Nadal, David Nalbandian, or the Russian backboard Nicolay Davydenko.

Federer will have to show a lot of guile and patience to get through against either of those opponents, but I believe his desire to win the only Grand-Slam title that has eluded him will carry him through.

In the final, I expect Federer to play the best clay-court match of his life, combining net rushing with inventive play from the backcourt. Unlike in Rome where he let go of two match points against Nadal, this time he’ll take care of business at the closing bell.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/13135927/page/2/
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post #2 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 11:49 AM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

I hope so, I do
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post #3 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 12:31 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

i hope so too

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post #4 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 12:39 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

me too!

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post #5 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 12:57 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

no chance.
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post #6 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 01:04 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

The Pig will be roasted on sunday.
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post #7 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 01:27 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

The french will have roasted Rabbit schishkabob sunday evening

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post #8 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 02:18 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

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Originally Posted by adee-gee
no chance.
i really think your rafa is going to lose this time

and then he'll start playing those small clay court tourneys again after wimbledon to just match roger on number of titles won in a year....
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post #9 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 02:45 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

I surely hope not. I still am for Nadal all the way.

"The artist is nothing without the gift, but the gift is nothing without work."



Go Federer, Nadal!!!
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post #10 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 03:03 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

Bud needs to pass me some of what he's smoking.

Rafa Looks Weird With Sleeves
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post #11 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 04:33 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

There is however some aspect Mr. Collins drops out of consideration.. Nerves. If, and that is still a big if, Federer makes it to the finals, he WILL be nervous as NEVER before, as it has NEVER happened before that he would have had to play a match with SO MUCH at stake against an opponent who is every bit as good as him. Nadal will have much less at stake, much less pressure on him - because a loss there will be just a loss, nothing else, no calendar/non-calendar Grand Slam hopes depending on this match, his streak is bound to end somewhere.. And, apart from that, Nadal still strikes me as a better pressure player on clay.
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post #12 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 07:43 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

Is Bud a reliable source or does he make lots of incorrect predictions. I would be amazed if this prediction is correct.

The current greatness league of active players in order of achievements to date (a factual comparison rather than fan biased assessment):

Federer 17 GS, 6 Year End Masters, 24 Master Series.
Nadal 14 GS, 27 Master Series, 1 Olympic Gold.
Djokovic 9 GS, 4 Year End Masters, 24 Master Series.


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post #13 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 08:05 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

Never on Sunday

Salvor Hardin: "Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent"

From Isaac Asimov's "Foundation".

Last edited by Merton; 06-05-2006 at 08:54 PM.
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post #14 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 08:05 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

Bud makes his share of bum predictions and gets clouded by emotions just like other experts. I think what he says about each player is true, but the problem is that it has to happen out on the court.

The best person I ever saw for predicting matches was Arthur Ashe. He was remarkable.
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post #15 of 32 (permalink) Old 06-05-2006, 10:35 PM
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Re: Bud Collins:No storybook ending for Nadal

still a long way to go with two matchs to win, but I am just counting them down one by one

“I am definitely the best frontrunner in the game. Once I am up, I hardly ever slip. But it has shown that coming back from behind is also a forte of mine. That’s a lot more difficult and it is not going to be every match.” Roger Federer
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