Originally Posted by GeorgeWHitler
It smacks of recency effect.
Am not comparing the two by any means, but people said that when it was suggested Nadal would win RG 2005, early in last year's clay court season.
It is a knee-jerk reaction possibly, but if he goes in 'hot' then he could cause anyone problems. Lots of young players come of age at the major tournaments and this could apply to Almagro. All I am saying is that he definitely has the game to do well there. From what I have seen of him this week, he will start rising to the big occasions.
At present, Almagro would not be in the 5 or even 10 favourites for RG. But Puerta made the final last year and in my opinion, did not have a vastly superior game to Almagro. Is Davydenko a better clay-courter than Almagro? I dont think so and he almost made the final himself. How many people thought Berasategui would make the final in '94? There are always surprises at RG and Almagro could be one of them this year.