Originally Posted by AgassiFan
Such "speculation" is deeply rooted in understanding subtelties of tennis momentum and specific players and situation. Anything is possible, but we're talking about odds - Andre wins that game, he likely wins the set and probably the match.
No, 4-2, 30-0 and great looks at Roger's backhand on subsequent 2 points IS different from Roger having some BP on ANDRE's serve or losing his serve at 15-40 in the 2nd set.
Well such understanding of subtleties would also point at Roge not having the momentum going into the tiebreaker, after losing so many chances (4 or 5) to break andre at 5-all and serving it out. So the usual subtleties are just that-- speculation based on some past observations. In fact the opposite happened.
One would have thought that after losing so many opportunities, Roger would be a little down on himself. It is all simple now to point to that as such a pivotal point but so many strange momentum shifts have taken place in slam matches so I dont see why this would be an exception where there is so little doubt of what would happen, could happen, etc. based on those few points.
Take coria at 5-4 40-15. He lost that point, the game, set and so on (French2003). Would anyone have speculated that he would then get to the first match point at 6-5 in the fifth? Slam matches bring strange momentum shifts out, the rest we can speculate