he's 700 points behind 8th ranked dimitrov right now and were almost at the half way mark so he's going to need some help. he'll need to continue what he's been doing this year but also hope that the guys ahead of him drop off and do nothing the rest of the year which isnt likely to happen. Looking at the guys ahead of him he's really unlikely to catch up to many of them. the most likely would be nishikori and thats more because i could see injuries holding him back. You also have to take in to account that murray is ahead of him by a couple hundred and his best part of the season is yet to come
id actually call raonic a long shot for the WTF now .. yeah there's a lot of time left but the guys ahead of him have such a massive lead that they basically only have to make sure to either equal raonic at the big events or lose close enough to him that it really wont matter what he does.
i see him finish just outside again
Raonic has only played one non-mandatory event so far, in Oeiras. Most guys ahead of him have played more 250s and one or two 500s; at the end of the year, everyone counts the same # of non-mandatories so the current race is a bit deceptive in that regard. In mandatory events, Dimitrov has gathered less points than Raonic so far, but he was won a 500 and a 250 - results that Raonic is definitely capable of matching when he plays those events later in the season.
With that said, I don't think Raonic is one of the best 8 players right now and he will need some help (more than the one already received with del Potro's season-ending injury) to actually make it, but he's in with a chance, that's for sure, especially if he keeps his regularity in the bigger events.