Not when discussing who's the better player. But it does count when discussing rankings. I wasn't doing that though. I just said Nadal was one of the top 2 players right now. Something that's different to the ATP rankings
I cannot recall you giving Federer the same treatment when he was still ranked behind Nadal but winning tournaments left and right. When exactly, in your opinion, was it established Nadal is now one of the top 2 players at the moment? After Vina de Mar? Sao Paolo? Acapulco? Indian Wells? And correspondingly, when was is established Federer was one of the top-2? After Paris 2011? WTF? Rotterdam 2012? Dubai 2012? Indian Wells? Madrid?
Predicting a tournament the day before it starts seems like a good indication of being able to judge who's the better player at the moment.
At least on that particular surface. Basically noone would have picked Federer over Nadal in MC, had he entered. Correspondingly, basically noone would have picked Nadal over Federer had it been indoor hard. If your statement that Nadal is one of the top-2 at the moment only refers to clay, that I agree with you without reservation.