since everything has gone wrong these days, Cilic will win and bump Richie out of top 10...
I wouldn't go that far, anyhow, this tourney will be a 250 next year, so you can rest easy.
and you're the first say that there is a real difference between 500 and 250. Like 500 are "almost" M1000 and 250 are nothing next to them. 3/4 of 500 have 250-field with average to poor quality winners like Simon or Melzer.
Dubai is not the rule, it's an exception. Hamburg, Memphis, Acapulco, Wasinghton ; all of them have terrible field most of the time.
Winning 500 does not automatically means "i'm better than the guy who didn't" if you know what i mean.