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post #46 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 03:35 AM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

A precise numerical forecast is pointless, but be mindful all top 4 are already beyond the best tennis age. Statistically the most likely age to win a slam is 23, only a small fraction of slam titles are won after the age of 26.

Wwe may be close to the end of an era, even though it doesn't feel that way yet. I doubt Federer, Nadal, Djokovic and Murray will win another 10 slams combined.

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post #47 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 03:43 AM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Federer - 3 (Wimbledon, FO, USO)
Nadull - 2 (FO, FO)
Fakervic - 2 (AO, USO)
Mugray - -1 (USO title removed from the record books as the USTA is banned and all monday finals are deemed irregular)
Tomic - 0
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post #48 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 10:07 AM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Fed: 0, how he managed to fluke that Wimbledon title last year...oh man, the stars surely alligned for him. Injury to his main rival, rain saved him in the final so he could serve his way out of trouble under the roof.
Djokovic: A lot, I'd say 6 to 7 even.
Nadal: A lot as well, 1 AO, 3-4 RG, 1 wimbledon and a USO shouldn't be unthinkable if he's healthy again
Murray: Surely a Wimbledon title and maybe a couple hardcourt slams. I'll go with 3-4

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post #49 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 10:15 AM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Federer - Maybe 1 more Wimbledon
Djokovic - I could see him winning 6 or 7 more at the moment
Nadal - No idea until he comes back. If he gets back to 100% then 6 or 7 more also
Murray - At least 1 Wimbledon and maybe another USO. No more than 2 in total
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post #50 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 10:17 AM
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Fed has 1 more in him, don't know when, I think he will Wimbledon.
Nole has 6-7 more, ( 2 or 3 more AO's, 2 USO and 1 RG). Maybe if he has a good draw, he could win Wimbly.
Nadal, IMO that's a tough one, I think 3 more ( 2 RG's and 1 AO).
Murray for me 4 more ( 2 Wimbledon, 2 USO).


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post #51 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 10:43 AM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Excellent question and a lot depends on Nadal's future fitness and how much Federer has left in the tank.

Federer 1 more probably Wimbledon GS Total = 18

Nadal 3 more probably RG X 3 GS Total = 14

Djokovic 4 more probably AO X 2 US X 2 GS Total = 10

Murray 3 more probably Wimb x 1 US X 1 AO X 1 GS Total = 4

I don't see the likes of Berdych, Tsonga or Del Potro making any real progress against these guys.

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post #52 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 11:23 AM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Henry Kaspar View Post
A precise numerical forecast is pointless, but be mindful all top 4 are already beyond the best tennis age. Statistically the most likely age to win a slam is 23, only a small fraction of slam titles are won after the age of 26.

Wwe may be close to the end of an era, even though it doesn't feel that way yet. I doubt Federer, Nadal, Djokovic and Murray will win another 10 slams combined.
Interesting.

Let's say they win less than 10 more slams combined. How about 8 or 9 more slams combined?

Federer: 1 more slam - 18 slams
Nadal: 2 more slams - 13 slams
Djokovic: 4 more slams - 10 slams
Murray: 2 more slams - 3 slams
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post #53 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 11:28 AM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Federer 17 -> 20
Nadal 11 -> 14
Djokovic 6 -> 12
Murray 1 -> 1
Del Potro 1 -> 1
Soderling 0 -> 1
Berdych 0 -> 1
Wawrinka 0 -> 1
Dimitrov 0 -> 8-12
Tomic 0 -> -3

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post #54 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 12:45 PM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Roy Emerson View Post
Interesting.

Let's say they win less than 10 more slams combined. How about 8 or 9 more slams combined?

Federer: 1 more slam - 18 slams
Nadal: 2 more slams - 13 slams
Djokovic: 4 more slams - 10 slams
Murray: 2 more slams - 3 slams
Plausible.

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Current sanyaku ranked players:
Yokozuna: Roger Federer (Dai-Y), Novak Djokovic (Dai-Y), Andy Murray [Rafael Nadal is an inactive Dai-Yokozuna]
Ozeki: Stan Wawrinka (kadoban)
Sekiwake: Tomas Berdych (ex-Ozeki), Milos Raonic
Komusubi: none

Active ex-sanyaku-ranked players
Ozeki:
Del Potro, Ferrer. Sekiwake: Tsonga, Baghdatis, Haas, Raonic, Nishikori, Gasquet. Komusubi: Robredo, Ginepri, Gasquet, Verdasco, Melzer, Monfils, Youzhny, Janowicz, Dimitrov, Gulbis, Kyrgios, Thiem.
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post #55 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 01:09 PM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Nadal has 11 and will end up with 0.

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post #56 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 01:49 PM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Fed = probably 1 more tops. As much as I'd be happy for him to keep winning slams (and he did show he can still hang with the top guys at the AO) he's going to continue his steady decline and will have to be sure to grab his chance if it materialises.

Rafa = I could see him claiming as many as 4-5 more. He's still going to be favourite at the FO for a while, and depending on health I don't think you'd really count him out of the other slams, especially with his mentality.

Novak = 5 more at the least imo. He's the dominant force in tennis right now, great on all surfaces, is at the peak of his career, and he holds a mental edge on the hardcourt rival who's likely to stick around to challenge him.

Murray = could have said a lot before the AO final, but another loss really makes me question how reliable he will be as long as the other guys are there to mount a challenge.

Of course this is all dependant on the younger generation continuing to fail to make any inroads at all.
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post #57 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 03:22 PM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gillouthe best View Post
Fed has 1 more in him, don't know when, I think he will Wimbledon.
Nole has 6-7 more, ( 2 or 3 more AO's, 2 USO and 1 RG). Maybe if he has a good draw, he could win Wimbly.
Nadal, IMO that's a tough one, I think 3 more ( 2 RG's and 1 AO).
Murray for me 4 more ( 2 Wimbledon, 2 USO).


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Makes a total of 14-15 slams. Even if no other player wins any slam in the coming years, it takes almost for years to complete this. By then Murray and Djokovic will be 29, Nadal 30, and Federer 35. Methusalem-ages for grand slam winners.

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Current sanyaku ranked players:
Yokozuna: Roger Federer (Dai-Y), Novak Djokovic (Dai-Y), Andy Murray [Rafael Nadal is an inactive Dai-Yokozuna]
Ozeki: Stan Wawrinka (kadoban)
Sekiwake: Tomas Berdych (ex-Ozeki), Milos Raonic
Komusubi: none

Active ex-sanyaku-ranked players
Ozeki:
Del Potro, Ferrer. Sekiwake: Tsonga, Baghdatis, Haas, Raonic, Nishikori, Gasquet. Komusubi: Robredo, Ginepri, Gasquet, Verdasco, Melzer, Monfils, Youzhny, Janowicz, Dimitrov, Gulbis, Kyrgios, Thiem.
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post #58 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 03:29 PM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Federer: 2

Djokovic: 9

Nadal: 0

Murray: 5
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post #59 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 03:42 PM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

It's really hard to predict without knowing when somebody else will break through so I'm going to guess the share of slams over the next 12:

Federer: 0
Nadal: 2 French Opens
Djokovic: 1 French Open, 2 AOs, 1 USO
Murray: 3 Wimbledons, 1 AO, 2 USO

Justification: I thought Federer was done last year but he done really well to win Wimbledon and maybe I'll be surprised again but I don't see it. Nadal's body will prevent him winning any more HC slams but 2 more French is a pretty safe bet and maybe another Wimbledon. Djokovic surely has to win a French Open and the Australian Open is his 2nd home. 3 Wimbledons is probably a little too optimistic, Nadal may get one more or Tsonga who is good on grass.
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post #60 of 89 (permalink) Old 01-28-2013, 03:42 PM
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Re: how many slams do the following playing have in them?

Nadal: 11+7=18

Djokovic: 6+2=8

Murray: 1+1=2

Federer: 17+0=17

2013 and 2014 will be taken over and controlled by Nadal.
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