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post #31 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 02:33 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

My theory:
Federer is better at returning from the deuce court than from the ad court.
This is especially true for returning second serves. Obviously, no one is going to hit a 2nd serve to Federer's FH. So we we only need to analyse his returning with the BH.
From the serve wide(ad court), Federer's only option with the Backhand is to return CC as he can't generate enough pace with his BH to return DTL and cover his position for the subsequent shot. From the serve down the middle(deuce court), Fed has the option to go io or hit dtl with his BH.

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post #32 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 02:34 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

Federer also goes for much more on BPs which obviously contributes significantly to the lower conversion rate.

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I honestly don't think Brown has much of a chance at all, think he might get a set at best though.
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post #33 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 02:34 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

He still wins matches, so what's the big deal?

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post #34 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 03:01 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

Quote:
Originally Posted by Federer in 2 View Post
He will sort it our in time for the big ones, he always does. His poor conversion rate usually has an affect only in NID matches.
1/17 BP in Roland Garros 2007 final

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post #35 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 03:02 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

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Originally Posted by Fujee View Post
Federer also goes for much more on BPs which obviously contributes significantly to the lower conversion rate.
i think it is usually the opposite. he takes a more passive and defensive stand in BP, almost waiting for the opponent's error. that might work against mentally weaker players but it allows the experienced ones to take the initiative.

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post #36 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 03:07 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

Quote:
Originally Posted by abraxas21 View Post
1/17 BP in Roland Garros 2007 final
Federer-Nadal at RG is the epitome of a NID match

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post #37 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 03:09 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

true

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post #38 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 03:20 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

its easier on these slow courts to moonball over and over again and wait for your opponent to make a mistake

basically thats why dull and nole have a beter stat-

basically, because they have much less talent, skill, feel or ability- and all they have is a (very suspicious) stamina advantage and moonballs- they can force an unforced error- simon style

federer who plays agressive- real tennis- makes more errors on these slow courts because he refuses to moonball

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post #39 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 03:21 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

Quote:
Originally Posted by GSMnadal View Post
Federer-Nadal at RG is the epitome of a NID match
Indeed

Quote:
Originally Posted by abraxas21 View Post
i think it is usually the opposite. he takes a more passive and defensive stand in BP, almost waiting for the opponent's error. that might work against mentally weaker players but it allows the experienced ones to take the initiative.
True I guess, it depends where he is playing. Faster courts, he will go for it in my opinion. Slower courts he usually soaks up the pressure and waits.

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I honestly don't think Brown has much of a chance at all, think he might get a set at best though.
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post #40 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 03:22 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

Quote:
Originally Posted by pray-for-palestine-and-israel View Post
its easier on these slow courts to moonball over and over again and wait for your opponent to make a mistake

basically thats why dull and nole have a beter stat-

basically, because they have much less talent, skill, feel or ability- and all they have is a (very suspicious) stamina advantage and moonballs- they can force an unforced error- simon style

federer who plays agressive- real tennis- makes more errors on these slow courts because he refuses to moonball


Couldn't be much more from the truth when you compare it to today's match. Tomic was the aggressor and spanking winners on BP's.

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post #41 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 03:26 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

Quote:
Originally Posted by GSMnadal View Post
Federer-Nadal at RG is the epitome of a NID match
dull has had 1 easy win against federer at RG

federer outplayed him in 2006, 2007 and 2011

Federer didn't take advantage of BPs but thats because Dull's moonballing style and high percentage play is better for clay courts

NID is federer nadal indoor matches at the WTF

if nadal ever played 2006 fed under the roof at wimbledo- i think he would get triple bagled

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post #42 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 03:40 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

Quote:
Originally Posted by pray-for-palestine-and-israel View Post
dull has had 1 easy win against federer at RG

federer outplayed him in 2006, 2007 and 2011

Federer didn't take advantage of BPs but thats because Dull's moonballing style and high percentage play is better for clay courts

NID is federer nadal indoor matches at the WTF

if nadal ever played 2006 fed under the roof at wimbledo- i think he would get triple bagled
Yes! I think you hit the nail on the head and seem to know your tennis

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post #43 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 04:24 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

yeah, Federer needs to change dramatically if he wants to make a third round of a Slam or win a 250.

This conversion rate stops him from developing as a good player.

It's probably choking, or just inability, but he's young and his career is ahead, maybe we'll see him top 10 one day.
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post #44 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 04:59 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

Probably because he uses a lot more variety and shots than most players. Most players just baseline until they are in position to unleash a winner. Federer actually tries stuff and along with that comes a higher percentage of errors.
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post #45 of 56 (permalink) Old 01-19-2013, 07:24 PM
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Re: Federer and Break Points

Quote:
Originally Posted by paseo View Post
I've been watching Fed since, the beginning, practically. But, it's still amazes me how a player of such caliber has probably one of the worse BPs conversion rates.
You know, they keep track of these stats. I suggest you never actually look up Federer's conversion rate over the years, because there's a chance that you'd be irrevocably shattered when confronted with the magnitude of your wrongness.
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