He may have a harder earlier draw, but he's still going to win every match. At most Paire, Davy, and Tomic could take a set off Fed. Going 4 sets for his first 3 matches will not be good for Fed fans, but Raonic beating Fed on this surface? Won't happen. Don't expect more than 4 sets for that one either. There's the QF streak kept alive. Tsonga as his opponent? Fed through to the semi's. Harder path than Djoko and Murray, but still pretty much guaranteed to get there.
Don't forget that at the WTF last year, we all expected Murray to thrash Fed, but it didn't happen. So I wouldn't pencil Murray in for the win straight away.
Djokovic though is assured another final unless he gets injured during a match....
Despite the fact Tsonga is the only one to have beaten him in GS coming back from 2 sets to 0?
Despite his great record at AO?
Despite the fact Tsonga has been playing great in Hopman CUP?