Do you agree with current Australian Open odds? - Page 4 - MensTennisForums.com
Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools
post #46 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 04:48 PM
Racquet smash enthusiast
 
emotion's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: Virginia
Age: 20
Posts: 49,083
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Abel View Post
Betting against events happening ("laying") requires a lot of money - especially at Janowicz's odds because he is 130/1 on to win but 160/1 against - for very little gain. If you wanted to lay $1m against him winning it - this is your overall liability - you'd only win around $6,300 on top of your original stake (as you have to cover it 160 times).

See below:

still a good investment



Matosevic, Hanescu, Lorenzi, Kukushkin, Chiudinelli, Gulbis, Bozoljac, Gabashvili, Hernych, Brown, Garcia-Lopez, Rosol, Zeballos, Istomin, Kohlschreiber, Tursunov, Robert, Gonzalez, Monaco, Thiem, Seppi
emotion is online now  
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
post #47 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 04:48 PM
Registered User
 
End da Game's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,523
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

I feel vindicated already
End da Game is offline  
post #48 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 04:50 PM
Registered User
 
Federer in 2's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 7,769
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Djokovic - Berdych
Murray - Tipsarevic
Ferrer - Del Potro
Federer - Tsonga



ROGER FEDERER

'Roger Federer is the best ever' - Everyone else other than John McEnroe*

*Not anymore...

4 AO - 1 RG - 7 W - 5 USO

Quote:
Originally Posted by nadalfan2013 View Post
Standing ovation for Nadal.
Quote:
Originally Posted by nadalfan2013 View Post
Standing ovation for Federer. Disgusting.
Federer in 2 is offline  
post #49 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 04:55 PM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Mark Lenders's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Lisbon, Portugal
Posts: 16,877
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bashkatik View Post
Djokovic - Berdych
Murray - Tipsarevic
Ferrer - Del Potro
Federer - Tsonga

I hope these odds helped you realize who the fifth best player in the world at the moment is. Even with favorable seeding as #4, Ferrer is still miles behind Delpo as far as odds to win the tournament go.

As for that draw, it'd not be that bad actually, although far from ideal.
Mark Lenders is offline  
post #50 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 04:59 PM
Racquet smash enthusiast
 
emotion's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: Virginia
Age: 20
Posts: 49,083
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Hoping for

Djokovic-del Potro
Ferrer-Berdych
Murray- Tipsarevic
Federer-Tsonga



Matosevic, Hanescu, Lorenzi, Kukushkin, Chiudinelli, Gulbis, Bozoljac, Gabashvili, Hernych, Brown, Garcia-Lopez, Rosol, Zeballos, Istomin, Kohlschreiber, Tursunov, Robert, Gonzalez, Monaco, Thiem, Seppi
emotion is online now  
post #51 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 05:05 PM
Registered User
 
Federer-Fan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 6,046
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

I hope :
Djokovic - Berdych
Murray - Del Potro
Tsonga - Ferrer
Tipsarevic - Federer


About the odds, Murray and Del Potro are overrated, Tsonga is very underrated.
Federer-Fan is offline  
post #52 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 05:41 PM
ALT-0
 
Litotes's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Norway
Age: 43
Posts: 54,268
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Roy Emerson View Post
Can Djokovic finally win an AO without losing a set?
If he does, I believe he'll be the oldest to do so since Rosewall in 1971.
Litotes is offline  
post #53 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 05:43 PM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Mark Lenders's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Lisbon, Portugal
Posts: 16,877
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Federer-Fan View Post
I hope :
Djokovic - Berdych
Murray - Del Potro
Tsonga - Ferrer
Tipsarevic - Federer


About the odds, Murray and Del Potro are overrated, Tsonga is very underrated.
Agree about Tsonga being underrated despite his poor late 2012 form, but no way Murray and Delpo are overrated here.
Mark Lenders is offline  
post #54 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 07:28 PM
Registered User
 
Fujee's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 5,663
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

I would previously consider Federer a greater threat at hard court slams than Murray, even at the AO. If Andy is in Rogers half, its in Rogers favour in grand slam play.

But all things considered, I would give Andy the edge now he's broken through and won a slam. Novak favourite for sure.

Eufemiano Fuentes

“I worked with cyclists but also footballers, boxers, tennis players and athletes,”


For Posterity

Quote:
Originally Posted by Certinfy View Post
I honestly don't think Brown has much of a chance at all, think he might get a set at best though.
Fujee is offline  
post #55 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 09:46 PM
Registered User
 
Uncle Latso's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Age: 38
Posts: 12,209
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fujee View Post
I would previously consider Federer a greater threat at hard court slams than Murray, even at the AO. If Andy is in Rogers half, its in Rogers favour in grand slam play.

But all things considered, I would give Andy the edge now he's broken through and won a slam. Novak favourite for sure.
Honestly, when i wrote my list and put Roger ahead of Murray it felt wrong, but i kinda wanted to keep it.

On a second thought Murray has more chances on slowish hard courts than Federer. Fed would be equal to him at Wimby and ahead at USO and RG, but AO is probably the only GS where there are real reasons to give a slim edge to Muzza.

About Tsonga, Ferrer and Berdych, Tipsa included - they might not even cross the 4th round barrier, it's the AO at the end of the day and it's not meant to have the top 8 in QFs.

We have players like Isner, Raonic, Kei, Almagro, Gasquet, even Bellucci, Verdasco, etc., who can win on their day anyone, but the top 4 in a Slam, so it will be a matter of day for the second range contenders in practically every match after the second round.

I wouldn't put a dime on the above top 4 guys (except Pony) below 100 odds, so Ferrer at 40 might seem like a deal, or Tsonga at 70, but these are just lost gambles.

I would personally put a few dimes on Pony at 17.50, which i believe is a very good price and a dime on Isner at odds over 150, which is a gamble, but i feel the guy will be in the last 8 (maybe even 4), so it would be a good one to trade later.
Uncle Latso is offline  
post #56 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 09:55 PM
Banned!
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Age: 29
Posts: 4,295
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Hoping for
Tsonga-Ferrer
Djokovic-Tipsarevic
Berdych-Federer
Murray-Del Potro
nick the greek is offline  
post #57 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 10:34 PM
Registered User
 
Nole Rules's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Age: 23
Posts: 11,103
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Quote:
Originally Posted by nick the greek View Post
Hoping for
Tsonga-Ferrer
Djokovic-Tipsarevic
Berdych-Federer
Murray-Del Potro

Dirk Nowitzki Kevin Durant Kawhi Leonard
G O A T N E S S
Djokovic - Zverev - Tipsarevic - Tomic - Cilic - Sock - Lacko
Nole Rules is online now  
post #58 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 10:37 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 11,924
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mark Lenders View Post
I hope these odds helped you realize who the fifth best player in the world at the moment is. Even with favorable seeding as #4, Ferrer is still miles behind Delpo as far as odds to win the tournament go.
personally if I liked to bet (which I don't), and with such odds, I would clearly put a bet on Ferrer here.

I really do think that he has a chance from everything we've seen in recent months and from what he's already done in the AO.

I really don't get what reasonably makes that Del Po has better odds than him except that he won a slam 3 years ago.

useless old guy
duong is offline  
post #59 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 10:56 PM
Registered User
 
Andi-M's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Sheffield
Age: 29
Posts: 5,998
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Odds seem about right to me. Novak rightly so is the favorite. Seeing as this is outdoor hard court event i'm favoring Murray over Federer at this moment in time.

Its right Del Potro has shorther odds than guys who are slamless, but i think his odds are slightly generous on him i'd have him much closer to Ferrer. Ferrer being no 4 seed is likely to get a more favorable draw.

Tsonga and Berdych odds are a bit long in comparison to Potro and Ferrer I'd have them all alot closer together.

Go Andy!

So very very proud to be a fan of Mr Andy Murray Wimbledon Champion 2013

Double Grand slam champion. Olympic Gold Medalist. Holder of 9 Masters 1000 events # legend
Andi-M is offline  
post #60 of 73 (permalink) Old 12-28-2012, 11:06 PM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Mark Lenders's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Lisbon, Portugal
Posts: 16,877
                     
Re: Do you agree with current Australian Open odds?

Quote:
Originally Posted by duong View Post
personally if I liked to bet (which I don't), and with such odds, I would clearly put a bet on Ferrer here.

I really do think that he has a chance from everything we've seen in recent months and from what he's already done in the AO.

I really don't get what reasonably makes that Del Po has better odds than him except that he won a slam 3 years ago.
It's simple really: he's a better tennis player than Ferrer any way you look at it. He's 7 years younger and already had surgery and yet has far better achievements and victories and is far more capable of defeating the current top guys.

Odds are not made by MTF Ferrer fanboys but by people who need to put their money where their mouth is; no one who values their money could ever rate Ferrer anywhere near Delpo to win any Slam title - it's not like Delpo is likely to win the AO at all, but he could (slim chance of course) do it, Ferrer can't - he could play the very best tennis he's capable of and he still wouldn't have a chance.
Mark Lenders is offline  
Reply

Quick Reply
Message:
Options

Register Now



In order to be able to post messages on the MensTennisForums.com forums, you must first register.
Please enter your desired user name, your email address and other required details in the form below.

User Name:
Password
Please enter a password for your user account. Note that passwords are case-sensitive.

Password:


Confirm Password:
Email Address
Please enter a valid email address for yourself.

Email Address:
OR

Log-in









Human Verification

In order to verify that you are a human and not a spam bot, please enter the answer into the following box below based on the instructions contained in the graphic.



Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Show Printable Version
Email this Page Email this Page



Posting Rules  
You may post new threads
You may post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On

 
For the best viewing experience please update your browser to Google Chrome