see what I said ?
Nadal is even further and has all of his points to "defend" in the first part of the year contrary to Murray,
but they don't fear Murray at all : 0.00001% whereas they still fear Nadal !
is it reasonable ? no, imo, Murray is quite as dangerous as Nadal reasonably, at least nearly as dangerous, but memories from the past tend to be too much printed in people's minds who think that everything has been definitevely said.
Nadal is a bit of an unknown quantity coming into the first part of the season but he's come back from injury before and it would not be a surprise to see him in full swing by, say, April. Nole may have "figured out" Rafa to some extent but only on the HCs are their matches on his racket. Whereas with Murray, any matches on the HCs or clay would have Nole as the favourite and the odds on grass (while Murray is imo superior there) would be very close.
Murray may now match up better with Nole than Rafa does but there's more to it than that when factoring in the whole CY.