We know! The last quote in my sig is like the only time you probably haven't predicted Federer in straights, and still you were wrong.
I'm always optimistic when it comes to Federer, and it feels right to me to predict him winning.
TBH, if I look back at 2012 there wasn't a single match that I thought he was gonna lose (I mean right before he played). I was most concerned before Nadal at AO, Nadal at IW, and Djokovic at RG.
How long have you been following tennis for? It's always been winner vs winner and loser vs loser on the second day of play for a group.
I guess I was under the impression that it's going according to seeds.