Ferrer in 3.
Fed didn't really reassure me yesterday even if he started getting warm in the end of the match.
Ferrer is playing at a very high level at the moment and has enough confidence to defeat Fed.
PS : I laugh thinking of Nadalfans like Just_like_Heaven or GSMNadal or RafaelNadalisGod, who so much think "Fed can't lose to Ferrer, that's impossible, Ferrer is just a noname" because they're so afraid for number 4. And also ballbashers' fans like Certinfy and Lenders of course
That said, I agree that Nadal at number 5 for the Australian open would be a bad news for the whole top-3, and especially for Federer, not only for Nadal. Nadal is of another caliber than the ballbashers.