What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1... - MensTennisForums.com

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools
post #1 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:02 PM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Age: 32
Posts: 2,483
                     
What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

I received good responses for Rafa possibly finishing 2012 #5, so now I ask what are the odds of Murray finishing 2012 #1?

Top 4's points earned so far in 2012 only: Djokovic 9,910; Rogie 8920 (just earned 15 for DC); Rafa 6,840; and Murray 6,730.

How many points each can add on for 2012 based on what they're scheduled to play...

Djokovic can add a total of 4,000 points (Beijing 500, Shanghai 1,000, Paris 1,000, and London 1,500).

Rogie can also add a total of 4,000 points (Shanghai 1,000, Basel 500, Paris 1,000, and London 1,500).

Murray can add a total of 4,500 points (Tokyo 500, Shanghai 1,000, Basel 500, Paris 1,000, and London 1,500).

Situation: Currently Murray is 3,180 behind Djokovic and 2,190 behind Rogie. Take what Murray can earn up to if he wins all 5 events (4,500) and subtract the number of points Murray is behind Djokovic and Rogie (4,500-3,180 and 4,500-2,190) and you get 1,320 and 2,310; this means that if Djokovic earns more than 1,320 points and Rogie more than 2,310 points the rest of 2012 then one or both of them keep Murray away from #1.

My opinion: Will Djokovic win more than 1,320 points the rest of 2012? I say absolutely yes unless he plays like he did last year and I think he'll do much better in 2012. Will Rogie win more than 2.310 points in 2012? I tend to think not, if he even plays all 4 events in total, he'll probably not do as well as last year, but well enough and Murray isn't winning all 4,500 points. Therefore I say Murray finishes #2 at absolute best, but most likely finishes 2012 #3.
theseth1119 is offline  
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
post #2 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:02 PM
Registered User
 
Looner's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 13,225
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

Very long odds. It's nigh on impossible.


The "Who plays tennis?" thread


Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocket Rod Laver
Roger is like a good red wine, he’s getting better with age.
Looner is offline  
post #3 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:06 PM
Registered User
 
End da Game's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,523
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

should be pretty good judging by how he lucked his way to the US open title
End da Game is offline  
post #4 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:06 PM
Slacker
 
Time Violation's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Mount Sharp
Age: 37
Posts: 15,519
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

Zero. Would have to win everything and hope both Roger and Nole get injured or something.

“There’s so many athletes, tennis players around the world,” he continued, trying to put his life into some kind of perspective, “they want to be the best in what they do. They want to succeed. Many of them, they don’t succeed in the end. I’m fortunate to have this opportunity and succeed.”
Time Violation is offline  
post #5 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:07 PM
Registered User
 
Certinfy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 44,876
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

Very unlikely. His only chance is winning every tournanemt he plays till the end of the year.
Certinfy is offline  
post #6 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:08 PM
Registered User
 
TigerTim's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: London (sadly)
Posts: 14,446
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

More chance of ferru getting no.4

This slamless pusher has lucked too much this year.

On Murray
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jamvol View Post
He probably just hangs about in 2nd place protecting himself with 3 bananas whilst waiting for the person in the lead to get blue shelled.
1. Murray wins Wimbledon 2016 after Djokovic is blue shelled by Querrey. Thanks Querrey!

2. Murray wins Olympic Gold for the second time after Djokovic is blue shelled by Del Potro. Thanks Del Potro!

3. Murray wins US Open 2016 after Djokovic is blue shelled by [pending]. Thanks [pending]!

TigerTim is offline  
post #7 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:13 PM
Registered User
 
Certinfy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 44,876
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

The big thing here for Murray is just trying to maintain or decrease the gap between Djokovic and Federer. Considering what Federer is defending that shouldn't be a problem but rather a problem due to what Djokovic can gain.

Then from the beginning of next year till the end of Roland Garros he needs to step it up, he's defending a lot less than the other 2 (or other 3 if you include Nadal) and needs to make the most of it. I know he's not the best on clay but he has to at least put in results to match his ranking in the clay MS events and RG and then we'll see.

It's a shame Murray had such a poor year regarding MS events though, if he were to have put in at least 1 of them this could have got a lot more interesting.
Certinfy is offline  
post #8 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:14 PM
Registered User
 
uxyzapenje's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: At home.
Posts: 5,311
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

2%

Djokovic | Tipsarevic | Querrey
uxyzapenje is offline  
post #9 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:21 PM
Registered User
 
TigerTim's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: London (sadly)
Posts: 14,446
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

Quote:
Originally Posted by uxyzapenje View Post
2%


2.14%

On Murray
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jamvol View Post
He probably just hangs about in 2nd place protecting himself with 3 bananas whilst waiting for the person in the lead to get blue shelled.
1. Murray wins Wimbledon 2016 after Djokovic is blue shelled by Querrey. Thanks Querrey!

2. Murray wins Olympic Gold for the second time after Djokovic is blue shelled by Del Potro. Thanks Del Potro!

3. Murray wins US Open 2016 after Djokovic is blue shelled by [pending]. Thanks [pending]!

TigerTim is offline  
post #10 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:22 PM
Registered User
 
nole_no1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Romania
Age: 22
Posts: 18,514
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

More chances has Madagascar of winning the Davis Cup
nole_no1 is offline  
post #11 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:29 PM
Registered User
 
TigerTim's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: London (sadly)
Posts: 14,446
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

more chance of this being voted no.1 on Rolling Stones "500 greatest songs" lost

[YOUTUBE]WvW4BKOqnro[/YOUTUBE]

On Murray
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jamvol View Post
He probably just hangs about in 2nd place protecting himself with 3 bananas whilst waiting for the person in the lead to get blue shelled.
1. Murray wins Wimbledon 2016 after Djokovic is blue shelled by Querrey. Thanks Querrey!

2. Murray wins Olympic Gold for the second time after Djokovic is blue shelled by Del Potro. Thanks Del Potro!

3. Murray wins US Open 2016 after Djokovic is blue shelled by [pending]. Thanks [pending]!

TigerTim is offline  
post #12 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:29 PM
Registered User
 
Looner's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 13,225
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

Quote:
Originally Posted by TigerTim View Post


2.14%
More like 3.14.


The "Who plays tennis?" thread


Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocket Rod Laver
Roger is like a good red wine, he’s getting better with age.
Looner is offline  
post #13 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:32 PM
Registered User
 
TigerTim's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: London (sadly)
Posts: 14,446
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Looner View Post
More like 3.14.
mmm, reduce by 0.02 and we are closer imo

On Murray
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jamvol View Post
He probably just hangs about in 2nd place protecting himself with 3 bananas whilst waiting for the person in the lead to get blue shelled.
1. Murray wins Wimbledon 2016 after Djokovic is blue shelled by Querrey. Thanks Querrey!

2. Murray wins Olympic Gold for the second time after Djokovic is blue shelled by Del Potro. Thanks Del Potro!

3. Murray wins US Open 2016 after Djokovic is blue shelled by [pending]. Thanks [pending]!

TigerTim is offline  
post #14 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:35 PM
Registered User
 
TBkeeper's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Age: 21
Posts: 4,327
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Looner View Post
More like 3.14.
but 3,14 is a circle... 2,14 will be called The Murray circle !

MR. FOREVER "UNDERRENTED"

SLAMS: 4 SEMIS, 6 QUARTERS
WTF: 1 TITLE, 1 FINAL, 1 SEMI
MASTERS: 3 TITLES, 5 SEMIS, 10 QUARTERS
TITLES: 21
MATCH WIN/LOSS: 482-329
TBkeeper is offline  
post #15 of 48 (permalink) Old 09-17-2012, 01:37 PM
Registered User
 
TigerTim's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: London (sadly)
Posts: 14,446
                     
Re: What are the odds Murray finishes 2012 #1...

π , indeed

On Murray
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jamvol View Post
He probably just hangs about in 2nd place protecting himself with 3 bananas whilst waiting for the person in the lead to get blue shelled.
1. Murray wins Wimbledon 2016 after Djokovic is blue shelled by Querrey. Thanks Querrey!

2. Murray wins Olympic Gold for the second time after Djokovic is blue shelled by Del Potro. Thanks Del Potro!

3. Murray wins US Open 2016 after Djokovic is blue shelled by [pending]. Thanks [pending]!

TigerTim is offline  
Reply

Quick Reply
Message:
Options

Register Now



In order to be able to post messages on the MensTennisForums.com forums, you must first register.
Please enter your desired user name, your email address and other required details in the form below.

User Name:
Password
Please enter a password for your user account. Note that passwords are case-sensitive.

Password:


Confirm Password:
Email Address
Please enter a valid email address for yourself.

Email Address:
OR

Log-in









Human Verification

In order to verify that you are a human and not a spam bot, please enter the answer into the following box below based on the instructions contained in the graphic.



Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Show Printable Version
Email this Page Email this Page



Posting Rules  
You may post new threads
You may post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On

 
For the best viewing experience please update your browser to Google Chrome