Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal - MensTennisForums.com

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post #1 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 02:33 AM Thread Starter
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Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

You heard it here first - well, maybe not, but still...

After a few months flying under the radar and with his bete noire Nadal - who once won 20 consecutive sets off him and beat him every time since 2006 in pretty easy fashion - out of the picture, Berdych will come back with a vengeance and take the Olympic gold medal in singles.

He'll be #6 seed, which means that he will have to face, on paper, three of the top 4 seeds from QF on. Here they are:

Federer - well, he used to own Berdych back when he was in his prime and Tomas still not in his, but things are very different now. Ever since 2010, this is an extremely even matchup, with Federer struggling greatly with Berdych's easy power and amazing return of serve. The H2H is 3-3 in their last six matches, with Berdych coming agonizingly close to win in two of those three losses. In their last grasscourt meeting, Berdych beat Federer in 4 at Wimbledon, in a match where he killed Federer's serve, especially the second serve, in a way I only remember seeing Nalbandian doing back in the day. Fed is obviously a super tough rival but one that Berdych has a good chance of beating especially over three sets on grass. Also keep in mind Berdych announced his arrival on tour by beating prime Federer in the Athens Olympics in 2004.

Murray - H2H is 4-2 in favor of Berdych, who won their only Slam match as well. This is a very favorable match for Berdych, if he's 'on' it's his match to lose against Murray. He takes advantage of Murray's blocked returns like very few other players on tour.

Ferrer - Tomas will probably blow him to smithereens should they face on a fast grasscourt.

Djokovic - this will be the toughest matchup for Tomas. The H2H is 9-1 for Novak, and for good reason. Tomas has a history of choking against this particular opponent: each of them actually won the first set 5 times in their 10 meetings, but Novak always ends up prevailing. You can usually rely on Tomas to fold in crucial moments against Novak; interestingly, though, his only win came at this very venue in Wimbledon 2010, which certainly gives his fans some hope should this matchup occur.

As I see it, he'd be favorite against two of the top 4 seeds (overwhelming favorite vs Ferrer, maybe 50-50 vs Murray), have very good chances against one of them (Federer would be favorite but Tomas has shown that he can take him) and a clear underdog against Nole, who he nonetheless has beaten at the same venue. The best of 3 format should also help him; the top guys are more vulnerable in that format and he has less time to choke as well. Of course the final is over 5 sets, but getting there is the first step.

After being upset by a superb Gulbis at Wimbledon, he has had lots of time to practice on grass and plot his comeback at the Olympics. With his serve and groundstrokes firing on all cylinders, there's no reason why Tomas shouldn't aim for the gold, especially with his nemesis Nadal out of the picture. I believe he can do it. It is also worth nothing that the grass is new and since it'll be a one week tournament it will not be worn out by the time the late rounds are played, which greatly favors Tomas when facing the top 4 seeds.

Podj Tomas


This thread is dedicated to my great friend and #1 Berdych fan, Jason

Last edited by Mark Lenders; 07-24-2012 at 04:44 AM.
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post #2 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 02:44 AM
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

It is absurd to think Djokovic is a thougher matchup on grass than Federer for Berdych. Federer in the summer 2010 sucked anyway, it is the worst form he had since he started dominating and Berdych was in the form of his life.

Berdych probably wont beat Federer coming in full force and full of confidence on grass, but he would actually be favorite against those others you listed on grass. He will probably lose to some nobody in 1st or 2nd round anyway.

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post #3 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 02:53 AM
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal



Yeah right

I think everyone already knows the Gold is already Fed's.

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post #4 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 02:55 AM
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

Birdbrain certainly will have a decent chance.

Game over. Forever.
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post #5 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 02:56 AM Thread Starter
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

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It is absurd to think Djokovic is a thougher matchup on grass than Federer for Berdych. Federer in the summer 2010 sucked anyway, it is the worst form he had since he started dominating and Berdych was in the form of his life.

Berdych probably wont beat Federer coming in full force and full of confidence on grass, but he would actually be favorite against those others you listed on grass. He will probably lose to some nobody in 1st or 2nd round anyway.
I don't think Djokovic is a particularly tough matchup for Berdych ie he's a better player of course, but one Tomas should have chances to beat when 'on'. But Tomas has choked so much to Djokovic over the years I have very little confidence in such matchup. Even in the match that he did win in Wimbledon 2010, he did his best to choke the second set, only doublefaultovic stopped him from giving the match away.

I'm aware that beating Federer is obviously a very tough ask, but at least I'm more confident of Tomas playing at a high level all match and not choking in crucial moments against Federer. He also seems to read Federer's serve exceptionally well.

I also know there's a chance he could mug out in the first two rounds, but I'm hoping that he doesn't. With Nadal out, he has a very decent chance at a medal, even gold as he is capable to beat each of the top 4 seeds on this surface (even if he'd be underdog vs Federer and Nole).

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Yeah right

I think everyone already knows the Gold is already Fed's.
Federer was also a lock for the gold in 2004 if I remember correctly. Berdych will spoil his party again, but this time go all the way and take the gold himself
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post #6 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 02:59 AM
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

You never know with Berdych, his ball bashing is not exactly predictable. I would not mind watching him win though, or just duplicate what he did in 2004.
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post #7 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 03:05 AM Thread Starter
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

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You never know with Berdych, his ball bashing is not exactly predictable. I would not mind watching him win though, or just duplicate what he did in 2004.
You mean when he beat Federer and then lost to Taylor Dent? He better not do something like that this time.

The equivalent would be something like beating Federer in QF and then losing to Ferrer in semis. It'd kind of be typical Tomas, but he better not pull a stunt like that here
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post #8 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 03:38 AM
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

First reaction, good call. Second reaction, I can't see him winning 2 or 3 amazing matches in a row. Third raction, if he makes the final, who is on the other side of the net? Fed getting that close, he will not blink and put Byrdy away. Murray, same. Djoko, same. Bottom line I just can't see him closing the deal in the last lap
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post #9 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 03:46 AM
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

He'll lose in the first round 6-7, 6-7, Gulbis-style.

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post #10 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 03:46 AM Thread Starter
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

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First reaction, good call. Second reaction, I can't see him winning 2 or 3 amazing matches in a row. Third raction, if he makes the final, who is on the other side of the net? Fed getting that close, he will not blink and put Byrdy away. Murray, same. Djoko, same. Bottom line I just can't see him closing the deal in the last lap
Murray isn't exactly known for his ruthlessness in major finals, is he? Agree about Federer and Nole, but Tomas would surely have a chance especially against Federer - against Nole too, but he's such a monumental choker whenever Nole is on the other side of the net I'd definitely rather see him face Federer. And there's always the chance we could have two surprising finalists; not likely, but could happen on best of 3 on grass, I suppose.

About the 2-3 amazing matches in a row, this is where Nadal's withdrawal helps him. He doesn't need to be amazing to defeat two of the top four seeds: a normal performance is more than enough to beat Ferrer and the matchup against Murray is favorable to him if he plays well. He could very well only have to play 1-2 great matches to have a chance at gold.
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post #11 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 04:06 AM
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

Ferrer to win the gold over Mark Lenders' fave player (Berdych?)

Honestly, I'm gonna root for him to win because he's from my country and I like him a lot

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post #12 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 04:08 AM
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

I want Mark Lenders to cry. Ferrer beating Berdych on grass would be pretty hilarious

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post #13 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 04:10 AM
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

Bullspit. Berdych and Djokovic will lose to Young and Harrison, respectively. And you'll be bowing down to me when Young defeats Harrison in the finals.

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post #14 of 362 (permalink) Old 07-24-2012, 04:17 AM
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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

Why do my Fed Jinx threads get deleted, and this remains? Mods?

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Re: Tomas Berdych Will Win The Olympic Gold Medal

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Why do my Fed Jinx threads get deleted, and this remains? Mods?
I rest my case. Mark Lenders, get ready to cry.

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