Originally Posted by Purple Rainbow
How long do you guys reckon Federer will keep the number one spot this time? I guess he'll be reasonable safe until the US Open.
he has quite a big chance to keep it until the end of Bercy tournament : on the next monday, he will lose 3000 points (Basel+Bercy+WTF points will drop off on the same monday). Hence he has quite a big chance of reaching those 300 weeks.
Before that, he will only lose 1000 points (270 points before the US Open and 720 points during the US Open, nothing between the US Open and Bercy).
Djokovic will lose 1600 points before the US Open and 2000 points during the US Open.
Which means that until the US Open (included), Djokovic has to get 2685 points more, and Nadal 2570 points more than Fed, to get the number 1 after the US Open.
PS : Djokovic also has a very good chance to get the number 1 back at least for one week after the Olympics if he does as well as Fed in the Olympics and reaches at least the quarterfinals. But one week later he will lose 1000 points from Montreal, and Fed only 90 points.