Djokovic the luckiest player of the modern era?
It seems these days, he can't win a major match without saving at least a couple of match points.
To save a match point, you'll need skill, mental toughness, and last but by no means the least a whole of luck.
A match point is like any other point. It is a single point in a match, be it at the very beginning, middle, or end. As a server, I guess your chances of winning the point is let's say 60%, and 40% as a returner on any individual point.
We all know even when a top player plays against a low ranked player, any individual points within a match can go either way. It's just that over a large enough sample size, the better player wins the majority of points.
So let's look at Djokovic
USO 2010 - 2 consecutive match points on his own serve, rough estimate 60% x 60% = 36% of saving two match points consecutively
USO 2011 - 2 consecutive match points against serve, rough estimate 40% x 40% = 16% of saving two in a row
FO 2012 (Tsonga, QF) - 2 consecutive match points on two separate occasions. I think at least one was on Tsonga serve. But let's say they were all on Djoker's serve, 36% for the first two, 36% for the second two, overall 13% of saving all four.
So let's multiply all these together, 36% x 16% x 13% = 0.75% of saving all the match points mentioned above, hence 99.25% of losing at least one of these three matches!!!!
Consider himself a lucky son of a b*tch!!
Hopefully statistically variance catches up with him!