Queens; Winner if Murray is not there, Final if he is. Could go either way
Wimbledon; If he draws Nole, Fed or Murray he has a chance for SF and even final. Draws Nadal - no hope. I think he would prefer Nole to Murray tbh.
Olympics: 4th place
Why has no chance vs Nadal? He has exactly the game NAdal doesn´t like, if he is in Zone his serve is huge, his power-agressive game is what you need to beat NAdal on any surface and he is great volleyear, can finish points vs Nadal at the net. I like his chances in QF vs Nadal. Each round further i would say Rafa is higher and hihger favorite, because of pressure, confidence, even grass - how destroyed it is, but in QF i like Tsonga´s chances vs NAdal.