I reckon that being unseeded can be better than receiving a 25-32 seed in Slams for some players (pre-draw discussion).
Assuming all matches go to seeding
, number 25-32 seeds are guaranteed to play a top 8 seed in round three. The top 8 are well above the rest of the field (well most of them are) so avoiding them for as long as possible is preferable.
If you are unseeded, you only have a 50% chance of facing a top 8 seed before the 4th round:
Round Chance of facing top 8 seed Cumulative chance
1st 8.3% 8.3%
2nd 16.7% 25%
3rd 25% 50%
4th 50% 100%
At Wimbledon, I believe grass court specialists like Tomic, Roddick and F.Mayer are better off not being seeded than taking a 25-32 seed. Tomic is a good example. At Roland Garros he happily took a 25-32 seed as most seeds would beat him and it enabled him to have two matches against non-seeded players. However, at Wimbledon, Tomic would be favoured against most non top 8 seeds, so being unseeded is better than 25-32. What are your thoughts?