Well here we are at Indian Wells 2012 with one semifinal set - Djokovic vs. Isner, and the remaining 2 quarterfinals to be played today.
So far, despite the unusual virus that plagued this year's event, most of the top players have made it through.
My Indian Wells 2012 Draw Analysis
has been fairly accurate to the quarterfinals, except for Stan Wawrinka, who did not appear in full health, losing to Simon, and for Xavier Malisse folding his tent early, and David Nalbandian jumping in to take his spot.
This leaves John Isner vs. Novak Djokovic in one semifinal.
Mr. Isner needs to serve better and up his game a bit against Mr. Djokovic to fulfill the upset I've predicted.
Mr. Djokovic needs to return well and play a good variety of flatter lower shots to Isner, who can eat up topspin on this court.
The quarterfinals being played today will decide who is in the other half's semifinal. The weather forecast for today's quarterfinal matches is partly sunny and warm, with little or no wind.
First up will be Roger Federer (SUI)
vs. Juan Martin del Potro (ARG)
I've predicted Federer to win here as he is clearly the more confident player as a result of their more recent matchups, and the conditions are not too different from the Australian Open where Federer dismantled del Potro, easier than on the faster indoor conditions of Rotterdam and faster outdoor conditions of Dubai, where del Potro made it very close. As long as Federer's apparent flu-like illness is mostly over or is not bothering him to a great extent, I think he will take this in 2 sets and advance to the semifinal.
Following this will be Rafael Nadal (ESP)
vs. David Nalbandian (ARG)
This could be an interesting match up. Nalbandian is playing closer to his career high ranking of #3 than is current #74 ranking in this tournament. If he can keep that up, he can definitely challenge and potentially upset Nadal.
That said, the conditions here at Indian Wells have always favored Nadal. He seems to have weathered his initial rust from not playing and has even advanced to the doubles finals, beating the Polish 6th seeded doubles team, which is scheduled to be played Saturday. An upset is still possible if Nalbandian plays to his best level, but I have a feeling that Mr. Nadal will come through in 3 sets and advance to the semifinal to meet Mr. Federer.
It's worth noting that semifinal and doubles final play on Saturday may be affected by a forecast of rain and high winds (High Wind Warning in effect from 11 am Saturday to 5 PM PDT Sunday...)