Federer is getting to the semis at most. He will run into nole and they will play at night in super humid conditions where it is even harder to hit the ball through the court.
Fed has yet to beat nole in this run that started post us open. Let's see how he handles playing him since the us open.
Before people start picking him he needs to show he can beat nole first which he hasn't done since last year's french open.
That's why im making nole the favorite. Even if he somehow manages to get through nole, and nadal is in the final. I can't pick against nadal on a court like this irregardless of what happened in indian wells. If nole loses to del potro and tsonga knocks out nadal federe's chances improve but lets not forget about murray on this slow court.
Semis: Djokovic def federer
Nadal def murray
Finals: Nole def Nadal in straight sets.
Hmm Mr. FedVsNole, isn't it a bit misleading saying Federer hasn't beaten Nole since the US Open? I could also say Djokovic hasn't beaten Federer since the US Open.
Since the US Open, they've played in 6 of the same tournaments, where Djokovic has won 1 (Australian Open) and Federer has won 5 (Basel, Paris-Bercy, WTF, Dubai, Indian Wells). It's certainly not Federer's fault that Djokovic was unable to go far enough to face him in those tournaments, for whatever reason. Federer did directly beat players that beat Djokovic and did better to get to the final and win those tournaments. Djokovic did better in the Australian Open and beat the player that beat Federer to win that tournament.
I think it's better to judge each tournament on its own merit with the recent past performances, current conditions, form, etc. in mind. How much one weighs each factor is up to the individual.
If you feel that Federer doesn't have enough confidence against Djokovic because he hasn't faced him and beaten him since Roland Garros, then of course, you have the right to your opinion, which may or may not be correct.
Each tournament plays differently, so circumstances at a particular tourney can favor one player over another.
Anyway, time will tell. #74 is at stake for now