Ok, I'd try to be objective here. 100% neutral.
I do believe Federer is sick and his form isn't as good as Dubai's for that reason, however, I think he'll recover for an eventual Semi-Final.
I, as a FedFan, think it's very difficult for Fed to take this title, but I didn't believe he would won Dubai either, so, anything can happen.
I think he can show a beast form vs Delpo and win the match, like in AO, but if he plays like today, I see Delpo taking the QF. I give him 50% chances to win over JMDP, and I think that's not a bad number, i'm ok with 50% chances there. (If he plays like Dubai final or Rotterdam's, that number increases to 80%).
Well then, now, Nadal - Nalbandian QF.
Rafa is playing good, or, at least, "not-bad". It's true that his opponents weren't so good, but he had not so many UEs, and that's always important in HC.
Nalbandian is pumped, beating 2 top ten players is really important for him, after several injury-years, he's finally making a big run on the tour. He knows how to beat Rafa and his game is working well.
However, Rafa is Rafa, and if he just plays the way he knows to do it, Nalby is cooked in 2 easy sets. David needs to lower the Unforced-erros number. He's making so many of them. If he wants to beat Nadal, he needs to improve that number.
I give Nadal a 75% chances of winning his QF match. However: Don't count Nalby out.
You can NEVER count Nalbandian out.
In case of a Fedal SF, I really see Rafa winning that match.
Even if Roger improves his tennis level, we all know Rafa is his Nemesis and has the weapons to win over him.
But we all know how Roger is, he can have a JesusFed level match, and we can't count him out either. I give Nadal a 75% chances of beating Roger here.
Now. If Roger plays Djokovic in the Final, he will win.
And i'm 100% seriously here. A Fed - Nole match, is for Federer this time.
So... I can't agree with you in this one CD.
I see Fed with a 50% chance of beating Delpo.
And a 25% chance of beating Rafa.
Of course, it's possible. If those things happen, I really see him winning the final, but I can't see that scenario.
I see Nadal getting this trophy.
i hear ya old friend. at least we agree one part of this deal: fed is trouble for them if he recovers fast and finds himself in the final.
he is on a bit of a roll now so he is somewhat relaxed even when he is down. he manages to find a way.
also fed is the only one there right now who can take the ball early and take time away from them. both d-pot and clay warrior need more time to execute their options.
no-djok is quicker than both d-pot and the clay warrior and also has a formidable hard court game so fed will have to play great tennis to gun him down. i think he may have his chances in that possible final. he just has to make it happen.
andujar could have taken down no-djok today had he done a better job of taking care of his serve in the 3rd set and also capitalized on his break point opportunities. he almost had him.
fed is probably not going to make those types of mistakes in the final. he will be much harder to break for instance. he is on a roll so he could ride this wave just a little longer.