Roger only needs 2 damn weeks.
He has from now until really Shanghai 2012. If he can get to #1 after Shanghai 2012, he'll have 3 weeks until he has to defend Basel and all the rest. But at that point, it'll be gravy cause he'll already have the record. Will he go for 300 weeks?
Now, the current points are:
I am of the opinion that if Roger can tread water from IW to RG, and be tied or very close with Nadal/Djokovic going into the Halle-Shanghai swing where Roger can pick up more points than the other 2. Regardless, it'll be close.
How about some baseless predictions, eh?
IW: Nadal- SF, Federer- SF, Djokovic- W
Miami: Djokovic- SF, Federer- F, Nadal- W
Monte Carlo: Let's assume Fed gets a last second wild card again. Fed- QF, Nadal- W, Djokovic- F
Barcelona: 500 free points for Rafa
Madrid: Nadal- W, Djokovic- F, Federer- SF
Rome: Djokovic- W, Nadal- F, Federer- SF
RG: Nadal- W, Djokovic- F, Federer- SF
At this point, the race to Shanghai would be:
And the ranking would be:
And on we go:
Halle: Djokovic- W, Federer- F, Nadal- SF
Wimbledon: Federer- W, Nadal- F, Djokovic- SF
Olympics: Federer- Gold, Djokovic- Silver, Nadal- Bronze
Canada: Djokovic- W, Federer- F, Nadal- SF
Cincy: Nadal- W, Federer- F, Djokovic- SF
And so then we have the race:
And the rankings:
And so it'll all come down to the USO and even Tokyo/Shanghai.
Fine, but Djokovic is not going to beat Federer in Halle, it is unlikely Federer will beat Nadal in Wimbledon or Nadal beat Federer and win Cincinatti (!) and Federer wont beat Djokovic in ultraslow Miami.
I dont really know if you turned the world upside down there, overall it evens out but you are not taking into consideration what surface they are playing at all.
Federer, Nadal and Djokovic wont be in every SF and F this year, that is just not realistic.
I am going to do some random predictions here that might not come true but will give you an idea that tennis is still an unpredictable sport:
Djokovic wont be in SF in Wimbledon and will lose twice to someone not named Nadal on clay (could be Federer, Murray, Ferrer, Almagro, Del Potro).
Nadal wont be in SF in Indian Wells/Miami and neither in Cincinatti.
Federer will only get to 1 SF during clay season this year.
Murray is going to dominate Indian Wells/Miami with finals in both events and atleast 1 trophy.