Well, the rule is that a player who is consistant in slams and nonslams tournaments and only really is stopped by 2 players depends on the change of only 2 variables if he wants to get back to nr1 might just get there as these variables change. Variable Nadal is on that age when defensive minded players start to decline fast and varable Djokovic has not proven to be able to dominate tennis year in and out.
In the past decade there have been plenty of very consistent players only to be stopped by two players (Fedal) over-and-over again, ending up with a meagre one or two slams in total.
I agree Nadal might not be at his peak anymore, but 'fast decline'
? The fellow made nine finals last year if I'm not mistaken. Pretty decent I'd say, even the more as he lost seven of those finals to that certain other
guy, who might not be able to repeat his outstanding 2011 again, but that surely doesn't mean that he'll be back to being a (relative) non-factor like he was before.
Don't count out Murray either btw. I know he keeps on getting written off on this forum, but I feel that might well turn out to be a massive mistake.
Connors is in fact the only comparable player in history, he was just as Federer ultra consistant when Borg and Mcenroe reigned and 5-10 years older than them. He was in every slam semifinal at 28-29 and won many tournaments but lost 10 times in a row to Borg and was starting to be dominated by Mcenroe aswell. What happened in 82? Borg retired and Mcenroe got into existensial crisis, Connors suddenly had one hell of a year with 2 slams at age of 30 years old...
Yes, so for Fed to do something like that, he'll have to count on some distaster happening to nrs. 1 and 2 - and sorry but I wouldn't want that to happen. Of course, not impossible, but very, very unlikely imho - fortunately. Like I said - Connors was an exception, not the rule, and he actually had tons of luck that that happened to his opponents.
I don't see what the problem is btw. I don't think it will happen, you apparently do, based on a comparison with an heavy exception in the past - we'll find out who was right in the future, and I'll be very happy if it's you.