I still think no. It's not in his control, it depends also on Nole and Rafa both having dips in form. The fact of the matter is that he's got a lot to defend for the entire hardcourt season, given that he made at least the semis at every tournament he played, and now he has a very narrow window in which to gain points. And the law of Federer over the last year or so has been that being in bad form, or good form, is no guarantee that he can carry it into the big tournaments. So he can have great tournaments like the FO now without having done much in the preceding claycourt season, or he can go out in three against Nole like in the AO despite being on this great run.
But it doesn't matter really, 285 weeks on top is not bad at all