Simon Reed agrees with John McEnroe that Andy Murray is favourite for the US Open - and believes that the Brit is the true world number one.
It was fascinating to read John McEnroe's comments about the two Andys - Murray and Roddick - being his favourites to win the US Open at Flushing Meadows. Mac is spot on, because both have good chances - but one has a much better chance than the other.
And that man is Andy Murray.
Roger Federer might be the bookies' favourite, and the Swiss seems to have become a sort of Grand Slam specialist, just as the Williams sisters are in the women's game. Federer never used to be that way, but there's no doubt he is now only really interested in winning the Majors.
With that in mind, you need to take a few wobbly results in other tournaments with a pinch of salt. That said, you need a hell of a lot of salt to rub away the sort of capitulation he showed against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga last week, where he blew a 5-1 lead in the final set.
Federer just isn't the player he once was. He might still be world number one, and in my eyes he is the greatest player in the history of the game - but he is still losing his powers, despite his wins at Roland Garros and Wimbledon.
I still think he was handed both those titles, and while it's not impossible that he will pull off another win at the US Open, it's hard to see it happening.
As for Andy Roddick? A couple of months ago I would have said that he had no chance at all of winning another Grand Slam title. He had been so overshadowed by the world's top four for so long that it looked like there was no way back.
But he's turned things around incredibly well, finding that combination of belief and aggression that players need to win the biggest tournaments.
It's hard to say whether his belief has helped him to be more aggressive or whether a new aggression has boosted his belief. It's a chicken and egg situation. But for my money, improvements to his forehand and some extra bite in his backhand have been the keys for him.
Those improvements to his ground strokes have made him a more complete player, and with that awesome serve - that's as good as it ever was - he could genuinely challenge for the title in New York.
Roddick certainly has a better chance than Rafael Nadal, who is clearly still not 100 per cent fit - and given how much Nadal's game relies on his astounding physical condition, he is effectively out of the running until he's back to full strength.
Nadal is just not right at the moment, though, and from the way his season has gone it looks horribly like he may never be, which would be a terrible shame for the world of tennis.
But with no Nadal to worry about and Federer looking out of sorts, Andy Murray is the man to beat. His form and confidence at the moment are absolutely sky-high.
Of course Murray has yet to prove he has the bottle to win a five-set final in a Grand Slam, and there is always the danger that he has peaked too soon.
On top of that, there's still a physical question to be answered. Murray is clearly awesomely fit, but going all the way through the draw in these warm-up tournaments in the hot, humid conditions of the North American summer is incredibly demanding.
Still, Murray's fitness is as good as anybody's these days and he is surrounded with people to keep him in top shape.
On August 2009 form, Murray is the favourite for the US Open for no other reason than that he is currently the best player in the world. And whatever happens at Flushing Meadows I believe he will soon become world number one.
An amazing article. Cant argue with him being one of the favourites but true #1??