With that draw it's hard to see him not doing well this year. His draw is so favourable and despite the fact he's carrying a little niggle he should breeze into the second week. The injury is perhaps the only thing that could stop him from going as deep as his draw should allow him. He's still patchy in his effort at times and I don't think he'll win the AO but I could see him adding to the long list of surprise finalists in Melbourne...
If I had to choose a "surprise finalist" for this year, it should be him or Simon.
Because yes, they have a good draw.
And 3rd choice would be Gulbis : he also has a good draw, and somebody said that he can suffer very well the heat and the tiredness in Australia.