A lot of people who like Rafa don't expect for him to win the tournament btw. Just because we don't think he is a chump like his haters do does not mean that we can't be objective.
His draw is full of landmines for him. Robin could be tough- but I think he will pull through. Then he could lose to Youzhny. Later he could lose to Hewitt, Berdych or Djokovic. I think that Berdych would be his toughest test.
Still- as a fan- I would be very happy for him to make the final from his side. If he doesn't - I will be happy with Misha, Nole or Hewitt.
Of course- I am talking about before he even reaches the final- if he makes it- tough task against his likely opponent Federer.
Still- I do think he did well yesterday. He has a good chance to lose to a number of players and imo a 95% chance to lose to Federer. But I can't get on the train that it is a given that he will not, for example, make the semis a'la marcRD.
He could get some good wins here even if he does not win the whole thing (which I really, really do not think will happen.)