Heartbreaking match against Nole last year. If there's any justice in the world Tsonga will exact vengeance in this year's final. It's his best ever chance to reach a GS final and I can't see him messing it up.
If Tsonga reaches the QF he will play Federer and even if Fed's form is poor I'd bet on Roger in that match... this being on clay and all. And even if he did beat Fed, Tsonga would have maybe 50% against Berdych and 40% vs Ferrer. A lot of things have to go the Frenchman's way if he's gonna get a place in the final.