Guys, after these 2 amazing weeks I decided to make a quick resumee of what happened and what can still happen this season:
Year End No. 1
Rafa is 2240 points ahead of Djokovic in the ATP Race Ranking as of Monday 19.08.2013.
Nadal will play 6 tournaments till the end of the year (US Open, Beijing, Shanghai, Basel, Paris, WTF).
Djokovic will play 5 tournaments till the end of the year (US Open, Beijing, Shanghai, Paris, WTF).
So basically Rafa can still win 6500 points this year, while Djokovic 6000. It's to early to predict that Rafa will end up as a No. 1 after this season. But, if Djokovic doesn't win US Open, then it will be very difficult for him to end this season on top.
At the start of US Open, after taking off points from last year, Djkovic will be ahead of Rafa by 920 points. This means that if Rafa wins US Open and Djokovic loses before the final, Rafa will be the new world number one already after US Open. If Rafa reaches the final, then Djokovic can't reach QF (that's highly unlikely). The next good chance to comeback to No. 1 will be after Beijing-Shanghai where Djokovic defends 1500 points.
Weeks At No.1
As of Monday 19.08.2013. Nadal has 102 weeks at No. 1 while Djokovic has 95. Djokovic is assured to have 3 more (this week and two weeks of US Open), so he will have 98 weeks the day after US Open. If Nadal doesn't take over Djokovic already after US Open, then Nole is assured of 4 more weeks at the top (till the Monday after Beijing). At that time Djokovic will overtake Nadal by one week.
As you can see it's quite possible Djokovic will overtake Nadal for a while, but it's even more possible that Rafa will comeback to No. 1 and have more weeks than Djokovic again. Also one of them will pass Borg this year.
1. Roger Federer 302
2. Pete Sampras 286
3. Ivan Lendl 270
4. Jimmy Connors 268
5. John McEnroe 170
6. Björn Borg 109
7. Rafael Nadal 102
8. Andre Agassi 101
9. Novak Djokovic 95*
Cincinatti was Nadal's 59th title. He won it 9 years and 3 days after his 1st title of career in Sopot (Poland)
This triumph places Nadal at 9th place:
1. Jimmy Connors 109
2. Ivan Lendl 94
3. John McEnroe 77
3. Roger Federer 77
5. Björn Borg 64
5. Pete Sampras 64
7. Guillermo Vilas 62
8. Andre Agassi 60
9. Rafael Nadal 59
By winning US Open Rafa will equal Agassi with 60 titles. Whatever happens, we can be almost sure that Rafa will win 6 more tournaments in his career and overtake Agassi-Villas-Sampras-Borg. The question is if he can win 18 titles and overtake McEnroe and Federer (Ofcourse Roger will also win some more titles. He still has some chances in Estoril and Halle)
Schedule For The Rest Of 2013
Rafa will have heavilly packed schedule for the rest of 2013:
As of Monday 19.08.2013:
1 week off
GS US Open
3 weeks off
ATP 500 Beijing
ATP 1000 Shanghai
1 week off
ATP 500 Basel
ATP 1000 Paris
Rafa will have a nice break after US Open which is good. But the rest is just terrible. He will have just one week between Asian swing and Europe indoor season. One week is deffinitely not enough to rest and prepare well for last 3 tournaments of the year. What's even worse is Rafa planning to play 3 weeks in a row on indoor hard having the most important tournament as the last one. This is really crazy.
As we know how important would be for Rafa to win WTF, I think he has a smart plan. He added Basel to his schedule because he wants to have a good practice there, then withdraw from Paris and spend this one week in London preparing for WTF. This could be a great plan, but if the fight for Year End No. 1 continues Rafa might be tempted to play all 3 events which surely won't be good... We will see how it goes, but really to me winning WTF would be much bigger achievement than ending year as a No. 1.
I just want to sum it up by saying that last year when Rafa was out for so long I was just dreaming to see him on court again. When he withdrew from AO I had some thoughts that I would never see Nadal on court again. I never imagined him winning this huge titles again, winning 8th RG, beating Djokovic and Federer, playing the most agressive tennis of his career and having huge chances for Year End No.1. I'm not sure we always remember about it and appreciate it
Thank you Rafa for all these great moments you are giving to us.