I dont think this tie is 60/40 Canada at all.
- Milos hasn't played since Wimbledon
- Pospisil beating Weintraub is not a foregone conclusion
- The Israelis are clear favorites in doubles
- Sela is a fantastic Davis Cup player.
Particularly given that the tie is in Israel, I think we are the clear underdogs.
Two years ago, I would have agreed with you.
Sela is not a good Davis Cup player, that is a myth. His wins in the past two years are: Marcin Gawron and Andreas Haider-Maurer. That's it. His loses over the past two years are Jerzy Janowicz, Jurgen Melzer, Nicholas Massu and Fernando Gonzalez, all in straights except Massu in 4. That is not good at all.
Vasek is ranked #120 in the world. Amir has beaten exactly ZERO players ranked higher than 150 and only two ranked higher than 200, Matt Ebden and Jerzy Janowicz.
Elrich and Ram are not a good doubles team anymore. That time has past. They are ranked 17th in the team rankings this year despite playing together all season.
As I said, two years ago, I would have been afraid of this tie, but now, I think Canada is a slight favourite here.