I hear you...I tried yesterday with handicap on Lorenzi but failed. I don't know, it just seems different than the other dogs at such odds. Davy won Doha in 2010, was in the final in 2011, and met Federer in the 1st round in 2012 and lost...but he surely plays very good here. He gave up only 5 bps in the last 3 matches (only 1 in the last two) and hasn't been broken yet, but I know Ferrer is a different beast...will most probably be on Davy, just have to figure out in what manner.
He's def got chances, his form looks so good but honestly I'm very scared of having money against Ferrer