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post #211 of (permalink) Old 11-27-2012, 08:11 PM
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Re: If Djokovic stays the No. 1 until October, he will overtake Nadal...

Quote:
Originally Posted by 5555 View Post
Can you prove that those several users are tennis experts? Pay attention: the only way you can prove it to people who are not tennis experts is to provide reliable source which shows that they are recognized as tennis experts.
What is a tennis expert? Someone who is really good at playing tennis? Someone who can memorize a lot of tennis statistics? Someone who understands point construction in great detail? Someone who reports on tennis for a living?

None of these things mean a person will be good at making predictions about events that will happen 2 - 3 years from now, where there are a huge number of unknowns. Knowledge about a subject doesn't enable you to see the future.

The best evidence of expertise is to look at the predictors' track record.
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