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post #164 of (permalink) Old 08-11-2012, 11:20 AM
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Re: Cincinnati draw discussion

2012 Cincinnati Draw Quality Analysis by Masterclass

The 2012 Cincinnati Western and Southern Open comes on the heels of the almost washed out Toronto debacle.
Among the missing for this tournament will be #3 ranked Rafael Nadal who is still recuperating from problems and #6 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga who is recuperating from an accident.

In the top list of those present, #4 Andy Murray should be feeling better after the obligatory withdrawal in Toronto following his massive Olympics performance. #2 Novak Djokovic might be too pooped to pop after the attempt to defend his Toronto title, but we will see. World #1 Roger Federer has rested a bit from the Olympics after taking a short holiday in the Swiss Alpine region with his family. #5 David Ferrer will likely be his usual hard working self. #7 Tomas Berdych has taken a nosedive in form and will be easy to overlook. Janko Tipsarevic and John Isner might be a bit tired from their Toronto efforts, while Juan Martin Del Potro led Andy Murray out of Toronto early, exiting courtesy of Stepanek and should be recovered.

Now here is my draw quality analysis by eighth section (section quality does not include the section head):
Each Qualifier is treated equally.

Starting with the bottom half of the draw:
MQF* - Section Name
40 - #2 seed Novak Djokovic
75 - #7 seed Janko Tipsarevic

38 - #3 seed Andy Murray
22 - #6 seed Juan Martin Del Potro

43 - #4 seed David Ferrer
40 - #5 seed Tomas Berdych

48 - #1 seed Roger Federer
34 - #8 seed Juan Monaco

*MQF - Masterclass Quality Factor - lower number is stronger (factor primarily based on player rankings, but adjusted by class, event history, current form, etc.)

By Quarter (toughest to easiest, excluding top participants)
30 - Murray/Del Potro
41 - Federer/Monaco
41.5 - Ferrer/Berdych
57.5 - Djokovic/Tipsarevic

The Tipsarevic section is the easiest by far mostly due to 3 qualifiers in the section.
Del Potro's section is the most difficult. A lot of old class in that section still playing well and Isner.


Fan of Great Tennis.
"I am Number 8 in the world; I am not Number 100" - Rafael Nadal

Last edited by masterclass; 08-11-2012 at 11:40 AM.
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