Oh yes, he'll lose. Probably a 2nd round exit, there or there about. If he wins he'll be around 110, which is generally right where major events cut off. But quite frankly I don't care anymore, I just want to see him make the AO and go from there. However he makes it is fine with me. I'm actually more disappointed with Sweeting since I can't see any reason why he's been struggling, whereas Don has several.
Agreed Sweeting has had plenty of chances but just couldn't capitalize including the Final he lost to Matosevic.